Curiosity 3.3: What Is Okun s Law?

Upon completion of this chapter you should
understand the central role played by aggregate demand in determining the level of national income;
know the concept of the multiplier and so understand why a change in aggregate demand of x dollars changes national income by a multiple of x dollars; and
understand why changes in inventories can be used as a forecasting device.

4.1
Aggregate Demand
The general idea behind the Keynesian approach is that natural forces cause our output of goods and services (i.e., aggregate supply, our national income) to match the level of aggregate demand for our goods and services. This match is called an equilibrium because at such a position there are no pressures for change. (Further discussion of the equilibrium concept can be found in appendix A at the end of this book.) The automatic movement of income to match aggregate demand has two implications. First, to predict the level of national income, we should look at what is happening to the level of aggregate demand for our goods and services. Second, to influence the level of national income, we can change any component of domestic aggregate demand over which we have control by changing government spending, for example, we can influence the economy and thereby achieve desired ends such as avoiding unemployment.
Keynes viewed aggregate demand for goods and services as comprising four major types of demand: demand by consumers for things such as toys and haircuts, referred to as C for consumption demand; demand by business firms for things such as factories, machinery, and delivery tracks, referred to as I for investment demand; demand by the government for things such as hospitals, accountants, and armies, referred to as G for government demand; and demand by foreigners for goods we send abroad, such as wheat and lumber, referred to as x for exports. Demand in each of these sectors includes demand for imported as well as domestic goods and services. To obtain what is important for the Keynesian view, aggregate demand for domestically produced goods and services, imports must be subtracted from the sum of C, I, G, and X. Textbooks often use a circular-flow diagram to illustrate how these components of aggregate demand contribute to equilibrium. For those interested, this diagram (figure 4A.1) is presented in appendix 4.2 at the end of this chapter.
Keynes split demand up into these different categories for a good reason. He believed that it would be easier for economists to analyze these categories of demand separately rather than as an aggregate. For example, the factors that determine the level of consumption demand are different from those determining investment demand; recognizing this difference should pro-

 



Macroeconomic Essentials. Understanding Economics in the News 2000
Macroeconomic Essentials - 2nd Edition: Understanding Economics in the News
ISBN: 0262611503
EAN: 2147483647
Year: 2004
Pages: 152

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