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2.1 What Is GDP?

Curiosity 2.1: What Is the Difference between GDP and GNP?
In 1992, the United States joined the rest of the world and made gross domestic product (GDP) the figurehead of its national economic accounting system, replacing gross national product (GNP). GDP measures output produced inside the United States, whether by foreigners or U.S. citizens. GNP measures output of U.S. citizens, no matter where they are located in the world. For many years GNP was slightly higher than GDP, mainly because American corporations abroad earned more than foreign corporations located in the United States, but this difference has slowly been diminishing as year after year more foreign investment flows into the United States than U.S. investment flows abroad. Indeed, in 1998 GDP was slightly larger than GNP ($8,511 billion versus $8,491 billion).

and farmer (or dividend income to their stockholders), some is wage and salary income to their employees, some is interest income to the banker who has financed their loans (or interest income to those who purchased their corporate bonds), and some is rental income to their landlords. It is because of this equivalence that total output, GDP, is referred to as total income.
Laypersons' use of the word income is slightly different in that it reflects what we receive as income, regardless of whether or not it corresponds to output. There are three differences of note. First, of the dollar's worth of bread, some money will be set aside by the grocer, baker, miller, and farmer to cover depreciation—to pay for replacing their buildings and equipment when they have worn out—and thus will never make it into anyone's pocket as income. Second, if the grocer, baker, miller, or farmer pays any indirect taxes, such as sales taxes, as the bread makes its way through the production process, then this money goes directly to the government and thus also does not make it into anyone's pocket as income. And third, transfer payments make up part of our income, but do not correspond to output produced. Examples are government production subsidies, welfare and unemployment insurance payments, and gifts. Interest on government and consumer debt is also classified as transfer payments because unlike interest paid by business, it does not reflect the cost of production activity. A subset of the national income accounts reports data on these kinds of measures.
As a nation, our annual income—what we have available to distribute to our citizens—is what we have produced during the year. Despite the fact that individual incomes do not quite match this concept of a nation's aggregate income, we will use the terminologies aggregate output and aggregate income interchangeably. This thinking suggests that GDP could be measured by adding up all incomes and making adjustments for the phenomena that we have noted. For those interested, appendix 2.1 at the end of this chapter shows how this process would be carried out. Some countries use this method to help in estimating GDP, but the United States uses a different method.
 
2.2—
Estimating GDP
Suppose that everything produced during the year was bought during the year. Then by adding up all expenditure on final goods and services during the year we would have a measure of GDP, what was produced during the year. This is the rationale behind the expenditure approach to measuring GDP, and with three major adjustments, it is the method by which U.S. GDP is estimated.
First, what if some of what was produced was not bought during the year? Suppose a million dollars worth of furniture, manufactured during the year and so part of that year's GDP, was not purchased during the year. The national accounts statistician views this extra furniture as having been purchased by the manufacturers themselves for the purpose of augmenting their inventory. In this way, by imaginative accounting, items that were not bought become bought. This technique causes the adding-expenditures approach to measure what was actually produced, namely GDP. Similarly, of course, if during the year people bought more than was produced so that inventories fell, the national accounts statistician records this difference as a negative investment in inventories, lowering the adding-expenditures measure to measure accurately what was actually produced.
Second, what if some things bought during the year were used products, such as antiques, and so do not correspond to that year's production? Such items are not counted when adding all expenditures, but the fraction of such sales that reflects a purchase of the services provided by the antique dealer is counted.
Third, what if some of the spending during the year was on imported goods and services, or on goods with imported components? Adding up all spending would then overestimate what was actually produced in the United States. This problem is solved by subtracting all imports.
Table 2.1 reports GDP measured via the expenditure approach. Total expenditure on goods and services is broken into four general categories, corresponding to those formulated by Keynes: consumption expenditure (denoted C ), investment expenditure ( I ), government expenditure ( G ), and foreign expenditure, exports ( X ). An extra category, imports ( M ), is subtracted from exports to produce net exports. This step removes the import component inherent in all categories so that we end up with total expenditure on domestically produced goods and services. It must be stressed that all spending here is on actual goods and services, so that investment is spending on such things as lathes, delivery trucks, facto-ties, and shopping centers, not spending on financial investments such as stocks and bonds, and government spending is on things like highways and IRS accountants, not on transfer payments such as welfare payments that do not correspond to output.
Table 2.1 is a simplified version of a national accounts expenditure table; more detail can be found in the monthly publication Survey of Current Business published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA—a branch of the Commerce Department). Notice that spending on inventory appears as "change in inventories"; it could be negative if inventories fell because more output was bought during the year than was produced during the year.